MSW Surf Forecasting

The outlook remains positive for swell on Wednesday. The swell arrives in two simultaneous pulses, clearly separable in the morning on the latest forecast here. For some locations we suspect this can be an issue affecting the final size, but for Praia do Norte there’s less of an issue – with the spot relying on the cross up of the refracted long period component it could even be a benefit. Regardless we’re looking at a significant swell event moving into the sort of range the Red Bull Mito contest is seeking. The issues have been, and to some extent remain, the wind. You can see from the top chart that as this […]

A significant North Atlantic storm looks increasingly likely to generate sizeable swell for next week as eyes turn to the recently announced Redbull competition at Praia do Norte in Nazaré, Portugal. Nazaré made headlines around the world last year as Garrett McNamara towed into what the Billabong XXL now recognise as the biggest wave ever surfed. A freak of undersea bathymetry creates a wave exceptional under any circumstances, but even more noteworthy for occurring as a shifting beach break peak that’s been hiding under the surf worlds radar in plain sight just miles north of the famous waves of Supertubos. This year the Zon Canyon project continues to explore the […]

TS Sandy could have the dubious distinction of offering up the largest East coast surf of the season, not necessarily something to celebrate if you bring potentially destructive winds with you. With no significant change in the outlook since yesterday it still looks likely (the NHC say 60-70% chance) that after a destructive path through Jamaica, Cuba and the Bahamas the then weakened storm will emerge in the Atlantic with enough power and proximity to produce significant surf for the East coast. Passing over land will weaken the storm, deprived of the warm water fuel it needs for growth. Wind shear will also have an impact, almost certainly seeing the storm downgraded […]

Detailed Supertubos Forecast Data North Atlantic Forecast Charts Summary – Thursdays swell drops during the day Friday. – Repeat of Thursdays light, variable winds with onshore spells possible. – Large morning tides. Fri 19th Surf drops through the day. Light, variable winds most likely possibly onshore at times. While the swell size doesn’t drop too rapidly during the day the longer period energy that it needs to wrap into Supertubos does, meaning the surf will drop in size from first light. Tides remain a factor with that same large, dropping spring tide in the morning and low around midday. Wind: Remain light and variable which means spells of light onshore […]